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6.33Financial red flags to avoid

1What is it?

Warning signs that a company may be weak, risky or even dishonest.

2Why does it exist?

Avoiding disasters matters more than finding the next big winner.

3Diagram
Red flagWhy it worries investors
Profit rising but operating cash flow negative for yearsProfits may not be real
Debt rising much faster than profitsGrowing repayment risk
High or rising promoter pledgingForced selling risk; promoter cash stress
Receivables growing far faster than salesCustomers not paying or sales being inflated
Frequent auditor resignations or qualified opinionsPossible accounting issues
Many related-party transactionsMoney may leak to promoters
Repeated equity dilutionYour share of the company keeps shrinking
Huge "other income" vs operating profitCore business may be weak
Stock pumped on social media with no fundamentalsPossible manipulation
4Quick revision
  • Cash, debt, pledging, receivables, auditors, related parties, dilution.
  • Avoiding big losers is key.
5Knowledge check
Q1. Profit up but CFO negative for 3 years. Concern?Show answer

Yes. Profits may not be converting to cash.

Q2. Why is promoter pledging risky?Show answer

A price fall can trigger forced sale of pledged shares.

Q3. What is equity dilution?Show answer

Issuing new shares that reduces existing holders’ ownership %.

More in Level 6: Fundamental Analysis: How to Find Good Companies